SYDNEY, NSW, Australia - New Coalition Leader Angus Taylor has led the Liberal-National Coalition back in front of One Nation on his first weekend as Liberal Leader with the Roy Morgan Poll showing primary support for the L-NP Coalition up 3.5% to 23.5%, and One Nation down 3.5% to 21.5%. Support for the ALP was up 1.5% to 32%, the Greens were down 0.5% to 12.5%, and support for Independents/Other Parties was down 1% to 10.5% according to the latest Roy Morgan survey conducted from February 13-16, 2026, with a representative Australia-wide cross-section of 526 electors.
On a two-party preferred basis, the ALP on 55% (down 3.5% from February 9-13, 2026 – the days before the leadership change) is ahead of the Coalition on 45% (up 3.5%). If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with a similar majority.
Men swung heavily to the Coalition after Angus Taylor replaced Sussan Ley as Liberal Leader
Analysis by gender shows men swung heavily to the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis on the weekend with the L-NP on 52.5% (up 8.5%) compared to the ALP on 47.5% (down 8.5%). In contrast, for women, there was a slight improvement for the ALP on 62% (up 1%) compared to the L-NP on 38% (down 1%).
Roy Morgan Interviewing in January and February 2026: Primary Vote & Two-Party Preferred
| Primary Vote | Ending Feb. 1, 2026* |
Feb. 2-8, 2026 |
Feb. 9-13,2026 | Feb. 13-16,2026 | Change |
| 1 Week* | 1 Week* | 5 Days* | 4 Days* | ||
| % | % | % | % | % | |
| ALP | 30.5 | 28.5 | 30.5 | 32 | +1.5 |
| L-NP | 20.5 | 22.5 | 20 | 23.5 | +3.5 |
| One Nation | 25 | 24.5 | 25 | 21.5 | -3.5 |
| Greens | 12.5 | 13.5 | 13 | 12.5 | -0.5 |
| Independents/Others | 11.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 10.5 | -1 |
| TOTAL | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| Two-Party Preferred | Ending Feb. 1, 2026* |
Feb. 2-8, 2026 |
Feb. 9-13,2026 | Feb. 13-16,2026 | Change |
| % | % | % | % | % | |
| ALP | 56 | 53.5 | 58.5 | 55 | -3.5 |
| L-NP | 44 | 46.5 | 41.5 | 45 | +3.5 |
| TOTAL | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
*Interviewing dates of Australian electors aged 18+:Ending February 1, 2026: January 26 – February 1, 2026 (n=5,111);February 2-8, 2026: (n=1,584);February 9-13, 2026: (n=1,216);February 13-16, 2026: (n=526).
Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating up 6.5pts to 78 – over 20pts below the neutral level of 100 – only 33% of electors say the country is ‘going in the right direction'
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased 6.5 points to 78. A majority of 55% (down 2%) of Australians say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction' compared to only 33% (up 4.5%) that say the country is ‘going in the right direction'.
The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 526 Australian electors over the last few days of February 13-16, 2026. Of all electors surveyed last week, 7% (unchanged) can't say who they would vote for. When comparing different polls, it is always important to make sure to take note of the dates when the polls are conducted to undertake a proper comparison between two polls.
Source: Roy Morgan Research
